Systematic trading and Trend Following legend, Perry Kaufman, joins us on the show today to discuss the importance of being comfortable with risk, the benefits of continuously ranking & evaluating markets, the importance of ‘fat tails’ in Trend Following systems, why you might want to use equal risk with every trade, how to avoid being over-correlated, trading single stocks vs indices, opinions on profit targets, and why he generally prefers long trades vs short trades.
You can find more about Perry’s work on his website here.
If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.
Check out our Global Macro series here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.
Send your questions to email@example.com
Follow Niels & Moritz on Twitter:
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.
0:00 - Intro
01:25 - Weekly review of returns
06:08 - Niels: How does the content in your book, Trading Systems, inform your decisions when building a system, and what do they mean to you?
26:44 - Niels: How do you avoid overfitting your system to accommodate markets that may not perform well in the future?
29:28 - Niels: How do you avoid being over-correlated?
30:17 - Niels: How does your ranking system work when adding or removing markets from your trading universe?
44:19 - Niels: How do you feel about profit targets?
53:06 - Niels: Why do you believe Trend Following strategies will always be successful?
57:00 - Niels: Have you found in your research that long-sided trades tend work better than short trades, and if so, have any hypothesis as to why that is?
1:04:33 - Moritz: What are your thoughts on trading single stocks vs trading the indices?
1:09:54 - Niels question for Moritz: How have you incorporated yourself & Perry’s work on Volatility Targeting into your trading?
1:21:29 - Niels: Are there any new discoveries that you’ve found in recent years that enhance Trend Following strategies, or have we most likely found everything by now?
1:24:45 - Performance recap
1:26:32 - Niels: Which book, that you didn’t write, would you recommend to our listeners?