Special guest Eric Crittenden returns to the show today to discuss the fallacies of the typical 60/40 portfolio, the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to begin tightening fiscal policy, Eric’s last appearance on the show which was at the March 2020 stock market bottom, different speeds of Trend Following, why stable returns doesn’t always equate to low risk, the difficulty in being comfortable with doing the opposite of what we’re wired to do, how managed futures can help investor’s portfolios, negative interest rates and flight out of fixed income, what could Trend Following bring to the crypto space, and changing the narrative around Trend Following.
Find out more about Eric and his firm Standpoint here.
If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here.
Check out our Global Macro series here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here.
Send your questions to firstname.lastname@example.org
Follow Niels on Twitter:
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast.
Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆
00:00 - Intro
01:59 - Macro recap from Niels
03:22 - Weekly review of returns
10:41 - What could Trend Following bring to the crypto space?
16:36 - How can CTAs change the narrative around investing so that they are included in the picture at all times, instead of just when investors are panicking?
24:50 - Q1; Leonie: What goals can I set as an independent Trend Following trader?
30:13 - Q2, Q3 & Q4; James: How do you size positions across different speeds of systems? How much in percentage terms should a retail investor allocate to Trend Following strategies? Can you recommend a CTA comparison website?
33:16 - Q5; Jacob & Sam: Can Bitcoin futures be traded safely even though you can’t trade them over the weekend?
36:30 - Trend Following reframed for better understanding
48:04 - Trend Following misunderstood
59:48 - Why Trend Following on only a single asset class often leads to failure
1:04:17 - Economic and social similarities between today and the 1960s
1:07:37 - The fallacies of the typical 60/40 portofolio
1:16:54 - How managed futures can help portfolios
1:23:16 - Benchmark performance update