Today we’re joined by Moritz Seibert to discuss the efficacy of backtests, how to build a profitable spread trading model, Moritz’s addition of Ethereum futures to his portfolio, why commodities such as coal should still be traded, how to incorporate macro data into a systematic strategy, how to distinguish between long-term profitability and shorter-term luck, and the alternatives to Microsoft Excel for managing market data in a Trend Following system.
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Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆
00:00 - Intro
01:44 - Macro recap from Niels
04:41 - Weekly review of returns
10:09 - Discussion on Rich Brennan’s findings that a Trend Follower’s edge comes from the market data itself rather than the trading models
13:57 - Q1: Henry: Do you recommend any educational resources that will help me to build a spread trading model, and can Moritz talk about his own spread trading model?
29:06 - Q2; Daniel: Can inflation market effects be incorporated into Trend Following strategies?
36:16 - Q3; Stasius: What techniques do you use to measure whether strategy actually works and isn’t just in a lucky streak?
44:15 - Q5; Jeff: What alternatives to Microsoft Excel do you recommend, other than CSI?
49:46 - Ethereum futures and Bitcoin’s newer, smaller futures contracts
58:48 - Benchmark performance update