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Why Barron’s Best 100 Hedge Funds Caught My Eye!

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So for those who say, that after 42 years in business, you can’t keep up with the “new kids on the blog”, flash-boys and what have you…I say, just click on this link and you will see, that you can.

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Market Trends for May 2016

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May could well turn out to be a very interesting month for people analyzing CTAs, in their quest to find a place to invest their money.

WHY do I say that?

Well because I have a feeling that managers with too much dependence on a few sectors, probably found May to be a tough month to get through.

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Market Trends for April 2016

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Commodities took center stage in April with a big shift in “trend sentiment” compared to the beginning of the year, where most commodities fell steadily.

This may well turn out to be a big divider in performance of CTAs and trend followers, as those with very diversified portfolios and a healthy allocation of risk towards commodities, should have found April a more challenging month than financial-only or financial-heavy managers!

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What I DID NOT learn at the HFI Summit in Paris

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I had expected a more buzzing reception when I arrived…why?…because after 6 years of an equity Bull market, we finally saw signs of a market environment where Hedge Funds and CTAs can shine and show what low correlation or even negative correlation really looks like.

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Market Trends for March 2016

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Yellen & Draghi saves the world…but spoils it for CTAs Investors in “traditional” assets and hedge funds cheered as Captain Yellen and her Co-Pilot (Draghi) once again decided that the world needed another injection of speed whilst maintaining the same course of action we have seen in recent years, namely QE and ZIRP. However, if…

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Affordable Losses

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Trend Followers don’t shy away from losses.

Losses provide valuable feedback that helps them improve as traders. Sometimes, losses occur despite solid strategies and perfect execution.

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Market Trends for February 2016

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Coco-Bonds spooked the markets…but not CTAs It is fair to say that investors had plenty of things to worry about in February and we were reminded about the days from 2008, where you were not quite sure if your bank was in trouble. This time around, we learned of a new instrument…Coco-Bonds! Clearly the banks…

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Market Trends for January 2016

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January kicked off 2016 on a positive note! Although the Trend Barometer finished unchanged for the month, it did spend the first half of the month significantly above break-even, which allowed trend following strategies to build up enough of a cushion to withstand the drop in number of trends during the last week of January…

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The Costly Mistake of Misjudging Luck from Skill

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Following up on a great H2 2014, most trend following CTAs continued to produce strong gains during Q1 this year. Good performance tends to attract new investments, i.e., investors are inclined to chase returns as they attribute recent outperformance to manager skill. This can be a costly mistake.

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Why Robust Trading Strategies are more Volatile

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I am often asked, “Why is your Tactical system of futures trading volatile?” Robustness and increased odds for survival have a lot to do with it. But I am getting ahead of myself…

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