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02:29 - The big macro picture
14:09 - The debt problem in China
20:39 - The fragility of China and the Taiwan conflict
24:57 - Kao's view on supply and demand
31:17 - How does Fed power affect oil?
38:41 - A complicated dynamic
41:54 - Can we actually trust anyone?
45:29 - The shadow banking system and refinancing risk
48:53 - A structural problem
51:59 - Reimagining safe assets
58:27 - Thanks for listening