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IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
02:56 – Introduction to Marco Papic
10:35 – Is geopolitical analysis even valid?
14:23 – Go to the insiders if you want geopolitical analysis?
21:04 – How can geopolitical analysis be exploited like investment constraints?
25:42 – What actually causes recessions?
32:33 – Using constraints based analysis
37:15 – What is the median voter theory?
40:33 – Are median voters controlled by media?
45:24 – The role of Bayesian analysis
53:02 – Papic’s take on spread trades
59:13 – Is the dollar overvalued?
01:03:46 – Predicting an invasion
01:09:20 – A strengthening of the Baltic states
01:17:08 – Key takeaways from Niels

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Follow Simon Hunt.

IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
02:58 – Introduction to Simon Hunt
06:30 – The process of Hunt’s work
13:12 – Hunt’s global macro view
20:52 – Are we approaching a 3rd World War?
27:56 – What will happen to interest rates?
29:43 – What about equities?
33:22 – Is it all about to crash?
34:33 – A commodity super cycle?
41:13 – The relationship between the different currencies
43:21 – How Hunt currently invest
45:12 – What keeps Hunt up at night?
46:49 – Thanks for listening

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IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
03:12 – Introduction to William White
04:38 – Discussing White’s paper about monetary policies
10:32 – What has driven the inflation to this point?
23:05 – Inflation targeting – a great succes? 
33:18 – Are we seeing the right policy?
40:33 – The debt problem
52:24 – Has central bank credibility been undermined?
58:18 – Seduced by their own billions
01:03:33 – A weaponization of the dollar
01:10:12 – What about Europe?
01:19:03 – White’s recommendations for aspiring economists
01:24:39 – Key takeaways from Niels

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IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
02:06 – The highlights of the previous conversation on energy supply
13:02 – Adam’s perspective on the demand side
21:57 – Blame it on the inflation?
29:11 – The opportunities of a divided world
36:50 – Has demand actually decreased? 
42:40 – What can go wrong in regards to the election?
51:00 – Thanks for listening

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IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
02:58 – Introduction to Michael Gayed
06:05 – What did Michael learn from the Great Recession?
13:37 – Using the S&P instead of realized volatility
17:21 – Treasuries – A safe asset?
23:22 – A mixed picture in terms of risk
26:39 – Why Lumber instead of Copper?
30:13 – Is the (inversion of the) yield curve still valid?
31:53 – What about the asset class cycle?
34:34 – Higher rates = increased economic activity?
37:27 – Being persistent is key
39:34 – Will yields come in very sharply?
42:02 – The problem of the inflation narrative
45:31 – Allocating to ETFs and funds
48:48 – The sad side to the business
58:26 – Key takeaways from Niels

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Follow Adam on Twitter.

IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
02:01 – Heading into the winter
10:42 – Flood the market with oil…a good idea?
14:50 – Understanding the supply side
29:30 – Venezuela – A hot spot?
33:21 – Is the SPR in trouble?
40:12 – The role of the different energy commodities
42:51 – Why convergence and how to take advantage of it
51:56 – The end of energy abundance
59:57 – Is nuclear the future?
01:05:18 – Thanks for listening

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Follow Michael on LinkedIn and read his book.

IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
02:51 – Introduction to Michael Howell and his work
07:38 – How much debt is there globally?
14:08 – Why is longer-term treasuries desirable?
16:08 – The off-shore market 
19:56 – The capital war between China and the U.S.
41:37 – Is the financial system more fragile than we think?
50:10 – What if the 10-year bond yield blows out rapidly?
53:59 – What has happened with the offshore short-term market?
59:55 – The currency space and relative liquidity
01:02:31 – Comments on the current regime
01:08:18 – Key takeaways from Niels

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IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
02:54 – Looking back on previous guests and how they have impacted our thinking
09:17 – Thoughts on the Fed and a historical perspective
21:11 – How much power and control does the Fed actually have?
31:02 – Low interest rates… a bubble maker?
40:03 – The inverted yield curve…a sign?
49:26 – Using volatility as a guide for equity markets
59:14 – What happens to the dollar?
01:04:13 – What should investors be considering at this point?
01:12:24 – Thanks for listening

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IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
03:15 – Who is Darius Dale?
06:48 – Darius’s strategic perspective
10:38 – What will happen to the inflation going forward?
20:28 – Looking at the next 6-12 months
26:18 – What about the longer term?
31:39 – The historical perspective
39:33 – What Darius is telling investors right now
48:22 – Dealing with external factors
58:36 – Factor correlation and clustering
01:02:07 – Are portfolio construction models outdated?
01:10:30 – Thanks for listening

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Follow Nathaniel on Twitter.

IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
03:05 – How Nathaniel ended up creating The Breakdown
05:30 – Big power shifts taking place right now
08:22 – Is the FED losing control?
18:38 – The future of crypto
38:19 – The dark sides of Bitcoin
01:02:23 – A Bitcoin liquidation…could it happen?
01:07:13 – Regulating crypto…the pros and the cons
01:25:04 – Final thoughts

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Follow Peter on Twitter.

IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
03:05 – Peter’s background
05:36 – Why socionomics is important to understand and follow
14:27 – How to determine Confidence in Central Banks
17:26 – Accumulated exhaustion, and what this means
25:35 – Crypto – a betrayal?
37:55 – Expected and Un-Expected Inflation – a sign of Scarcity
46:01 – A potential Massive Market Cycle Top?
51:33 – Heading towards deglobalization
01:02:54 – Global Fragmentation
01:12:24 – Confident decision making
01:16:21 – Thanks for listening

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Follow Andreas on Twitter.

Follow Alfonso on Twitter.

IT's TRUE 👀 – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro
03:15 – Setting the stage for our conversation
07:26 – Current Macro outlook…and how its evolved in recent months
13:47 – Populism & potential for Deflation
28:51 – Demographics & Labour force
53:05 – Central Bank policies
01:03:58 – Key mistakes to avoid
01:10:09 – Wrapping up